Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.006371 0.007340 0.008470 0.009902 0.011694 0.013894 0.016853
2025-11-09 0.004861 0.005968 0.007385 0.009383 0.012218 0.016245 0.022712
2025-11-16 0.004048 0.005172 0.006697 0.009007 0.012587 0.018266 0.028816
2025-11-23 0.003641 0.004808 0.006474 0.009159 0.013676 0.021649 0.038905
2025-11-30 0.003259 0.004410 0.006115 0.008998 0.014172 0.024159 0.048960
2025-12-07 0.002926 0.004032 0.005721 0.008687 0.014299 0.025984 0.058867
2025-12-14 0.002691 0.003773 0.005471 0.008565 0.014731 0.028612 0.073410
2025-12-21 0.002571 0.003678 0.005468 0.008871 0.016092 0.034017 0.103724
2025-12-28 0.002492 0.003635 0.005543 0.009333 0.017928 0.041726 0.158410
2026-01-04 0.002371 0.003510 0.005458 0.009459 0.019033 0.048097 0.225417
2026-01-11 0.002234 0.003345 0.005280 0.009364 0.019564 0.053020 0.303395
2026-01-18 0.002128 0.003224 0.005168 0.009389 0.020425 0.059871 0.440532
2026-01-25 0.001991 0.003048 0.004955 0.009201 0.020787 0.065780 0.640521
2026-02-01 0.001835 0.002827 0.004637 0.008735 0.020232 0.067472 0.815947
2026-02-08 0.001709 0.002651 0.004390 0.008394 0.019970 0.070590 1.117885
2026-02-15 0.001646 0.002583 0.004347 0.008532 0.021291 0.083905 2.460355
2026-02-22 0.001561 0.002468 0.004198 0.008386 0.021622 0.092159 4.828790
2026-03-01 0.001471 0.002338 0.004007 0.008104 0.021391 0.096663 8.806328
2026-03-08 0.001404 0.002247 0.003888 0.007993 0.021766 0.106615 28.190039
2026-03-15 0.001375 0.002226 0.003915 0.008271 0.023770 0.134983 554078.712525
2026-03-22 0.001359 0.002227 0.003988 0.008689 0.026607 0.182683 NaN
2026-03-29 0.001320 0.002182 0.003955 0.008804 0.028200 0.224333 NaN
2026-04-05 0.001270 0.002112 0.003859 0.008718 0.028825 0.256134 NaN